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goDel

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Posts posted by goDel

  1. 3 hours ago, chenGOD said:

    I think that’s utterly useless. 
    You all realize Jeff Bezos doesn’t literally have $139B sitting around in cash right? 
    Make Amazon and other corporations pay their fair share of tax. Corporate tax evasion dwarfs individual tax evasion. 

    Disagree. Partly for the sake of it. But anyway, yeah it's true that he can't just spend 139B on hamburgers at the next doors McDonalds. But your confusing two things here: the company and his private capital. Now, theres a bit of a misty area here, as he privately owns part of "his" company. But as a rule of thumb use the number of stake/shareholders he has to answer to when doing stuff with that capital. Those 139B are his private belongings, if you will. Thats his property, or capital. There's no shareholders telling him what to do with it. Even if they might have an opinion about it. But this is the first argument why this isn't useless as it shows the ridiculous amount of private capital.

    The other argument is that even though this 139B isn't just money in his bankaccount, but "capital", this property is something which he can use to borrow cash. Like instantaneously. With 139B worth of capital, you basically have your own private bank which you could call at any time of the day to ask for some cash. And you immediately get it. That's what you can do with 139B worth of capital. Cash grows on trees basically. You can do whatever you want.

    so yeah. Ridiculous.

     

  2. Thats a lot of scrolling. I passed out somewhere in the 3trillion part. Probably just the beginning of it. Fuck thats insane. Also drives home the point the the filthy rich, the millionaires, probably haven't got a clue they're not even near the focus point of this problem. Even though they think they are. They're less than a rounding error.

    • Like 2
  3. 14 minutes ago, rhmilo said:

    One thing I’ve found is terrible working from home and video conferencing is student assessments. Meetings, with other teachers or even with students, are fine. People communicate and work around the inherent limitations of video and audio conferencing no problem at all (well, maybe it’s a *little* easier with colleagues than with students).

    But assessments: don’t work at all. You ask a question and silence ensues. You can’t send out encouraging glances or assess the body language of the students to determine whether followup questions are needed. It’s just stone cold silence until either an answer does finally come or one of the teachers has enough and expresses the conviction that no answer will be forthcoming. You can imagine what that does to the overall atmosphere. Instead of having a conversation with students in which you gently determine their ability you end up grilling them. Very unpleasant.

    Is that in a one on one context? Or with an entire class where no-one responds to a question?

    Sounds to me like something which can be addressed with different "techniques". What I've noticed to be ineffective is to ask general questions to groups. It's better to ask that question and then ask a specific person, like "John, I'd like to know your thoughts. What do you think of ..." "What would you do?" Or "how would you " and so on.

    I'm operating from a different context though. More collaborative. I'm basically asking for help or opinions, instead of trying to get people to jump through hoops like a dog.

    It works best when I'm honestly interested. People tend to be helpful problem solvers. Present them a problem, and they autimagically try to formulate answers. And that even works when you don't ask for help. ? (like what i'm doing now)

    From memory, my experience at uni is mostly professors/teacher treating students like dogs. At which point I mostly log out and only cooperate when absolutely necessary. I think the whole academic concept was fundamentally flawed though. Professors were mostly forced to teach, while their only interest was research/themselves. Although there were exceptions. And they tend to be good at both as well. Good at teaching and at research. The average professor though, sucks at research and forced to teach. Pitiful creatures.

    • Like 1
  4. Russian disinfo seems to be more directed towards Russians themselves, imo. If critical clinicians are being thrown out of the window, there seems to be a strong sense of, lets say, criticism not being allowed and inconvenient facts not being welcome. Have to be mindful though that this doesn't necessarily mean those dead clinicians are to directly to be blamed on Putin. The country is so corrupt, it could easily be some middle man making sure he can remain in his position.

    Disinfo in the US has been linked to some rich right wingers, I believe. DeVos or something.

    Personally, I try not to be triggered by people falling for that crap. The more people get triggered, the more effective it becomes, I think. The goal is to trigger liberals and "loser" conservatives. As it validates them.

    Only way to deal with it, is to remain completely stoic, imo. Like dealing with annoying kids.

  5. 4 minutes ago, dingformung said:

    I just think that actual psychologists probably chuckle at models like this. But agree, might still be useful to make a point. Apologies for my pointless brain yoga

    I wonder if those "actual psychologists" are doing "actual science". I mean, this model isn't the kind of science like physics is. But in psychology hardly anything is. The minute it becomes more "hard" science, it becomes either biology, chemistry or computational science. But that's more your field, if my memory is correct. And then, there's also the clinical psychologists. They don't have much reason to chuckle either, imo.

    • Like 1
  6. 12 minutes ago, dingformung said:

    With "mediocre" I don't mean low in competence, I mean having some but not much competence.

    hahaha. It's better to post that image. This sentence doesn't explain what you mean at all. The difference between "low in competence" and "some but not much competence" is euh...how shall I put it... a not well communicated difference as it looks completely the same from where I'm reading. Different shades of the same colour, if you will. The graphs shows what you mean though.

    To me the valley of dispair thing is similar to conscious incompetence. You probably have heard these terms as well: unconscious incompetence, conscious incompetence, conscious competence and unconscious competence. The learning stages. So to me it does make sense.

    One thing though, the right side of that graph...isn't that supposed to go down again? I'm under the assumption the model also predicts that with more competence, after a while confidence starts to decline a bit. Not as much as despair. But significant enough. This doesn't look right to me. But that could be my misunderstanding.

    • Like 1
  7. Quote

    Maybe this Dunning-Kruger model is only part of the truth

    That would be a good starting assumption. By definition. ?

    Not only that, but also our understanding of what the model means and implies, btw.

    Quote

    Maybe confidence itself is a competence.

    Yeah. I could get behind that. 

    Quote

    ...because wouldn't it basically mean that people with objectively mediocre competence are never overly confident or lacking in confidence? Which clearly isn't the case, at least in my observations.

    You're saying the opposite of what the model stereotypically says, I think. If you're (objectively) mediocre, you tend to overestimate your own competence. Which is another way of saying you're overconfident, right? Seems like you misread the model for a bit, imo.

  8. 29 minutes ago, dcom said:

    I've watched that before, as well as his father's presentations as well as read the book - it's all about being (information, knowledge, statistically etc.) literate about things. Could you point to something more specific?

    If you're wondering why I responded that way, it is because of a number of things. Your comment that it's not information overload firstly seems to imply that it was my only point. It wasn't. Nor was I thinking about overload, btw. Was just saying theres a lot of info. More than at other times in history. Thats not the same as saying were suffering an overload.

    Then you try to explain about filters and dunning kruger and all that, and i just have to wonder why. First you put me into the ignorant box. Perhaps to show your knowledge, I dont know. Could have been poor communication from my side as well. Then you try to explain all kinds of things which, imo, are only parts of an explanation. Where the more fundamental thing, id argue, is discussed in that presentation. 

    And now that you mention youre already well aware of all that stuff, I'm left wondering, again, why you feel the need to explain the filters and bubbles and dunning krugers, when you would know of this more basic problem. Why focus on all that other stuff?

    You should wonder whether your focus on that stuff is part of a bigger irony which is your own bubble. Which is not to say you arent well informed. Im sure youve done your homework. But, as you could have seen in that presentation, being an expert (well-informed) doesnt automatically give better intuitions about the world. It's often the other way around. Again, presentation. 

    You dont strike me as a guy with the self criticism I'd expect people to take away from these sources. It's more about finding out whats wrong with the rest of the world, i'm guessing. Amirite?

  9. 4 minutes ago, prdctvsm said:

    50 yrs of dumbing-down = the end of democracy. because democracy is based upon majority rule, &so but when that majority has become an uneducated, greedy, entitled, myopic bunch o' boofheads w. guns & hairdos raised on shitty diets & disney movies, then r.i.p. democracy  ))::

    umair haque puts it better in his, "age of ignorance" article.

    Nah. We're in a transition. There's so much information around nowadays, we still have to learn how to deal with it. As we're wired to focus on the alarming stuff, it looks like there's alarming stuff everywhere. And with more information, there's more potential for alarming stuff. That's our own biases and intuitions making fools of ourselves.

    This presentation explains it a bit. Also notice 9 mins in that those in the media are equally ignorant. And the fake news isn't real fake. It's incompetent. This is not society moving backwards. This is society still needing to adapt to the new world we live in. We're actually moving forward by noticing how shit it is...

     

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 3
  10. 59 minutes ago, Lane Visitor said:

    Several of my closest friends one of who is actually a nurse thinks the same thing and is complaining why can't we just open up everything already etc.

    Sounds like you live in a region where the impact is still tiny. Would explain a lot, imo. I mean, if even a nurse thinks nothing of it, I'm fairly sure the healthcare system in your region hasn't been overrun with covid19 patients. If it would have been, I'd expect a different story.

    For what it's worth, from a world wide perspective the responses have usually been reactive instead of proactive. Proactive action have been rare. Look at Europe, for instance. There are exceptions, of course, but most of what you see there is reactive responses to the pandemic. 

    If my intuition is correct, the pandemic hasn't really reached your state yet. And perhaps it wont either. Who knows. But when it does, opinions will change in an instant. A healthcare system which is like a warzone will affect everyone. Even the people without c19. Anyone who needs some kind of healthcare will notice. And the severity of the situation will be immediate. 

    If you're the proactive kind of person, you'll always be in a minority. Hate to say it, but thats just the way it is. Similar in the EU. Or anywhere else. 

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