poisson process help

[GORDO]

dunno if I can tell you anything about it that's insightful to you, all I can think of is this book "adventures in stochastic processes" by Sidney Resnick, while it is intended for students in mathematics it is also filled with funny examples and stories. I can send you a pdf if you want.

 

Also, I'd like to point out that from a mathematical point of view, streaks WILL always happen even for low probability events.

 

hey thanks Gordo I would love you to send that pdf!

 

The one thing that I do understand is that random events DO tend to cluster. I'm reading a book on violence by Pinker right now and he's discussed that at length with lots of interesting examples.

 

http://www.mediafire.com/download.php?0ah9d5xgckb4i0i

 

Also, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Borel%E2%80%93Cantelli_lemma#Converse_result

 

And check the infinite monkey problem.