caze
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Everything posted by caze
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It's also important to remember that you don't need to swing the popular vote all that drastically for Clinton to have a landslide win. The democrats start off with a very significant demographic advantage in the electoral college (with big states like NY, Illinois and California already in the bag, and southern states like Arizona and Colorado flipping to blue in recent years), Clinton can now afford to narrowly lose a swing-state like Florida and still win the election (as long as she wins Ohio, or vice versa, the republicans need both). The republicans realised this after Bush, and they tried to reorient their policies towards a more pro-immigration platform to court latino voters, not only did they fail at that though, but it completely alienated their core voters and allowed for the Trump to defeat all of the party's preferred candidates. It'll be fascinating to see what they do after the election if Trump loses, it'll have proved them right that the angry uneducated white vote is no longer enough to win the presidency, but the policies they need to enact will never succeed within their own grassroots movement, puts them in a very difficult position. Like I said many months ago, bar some unforeseen dramatic revelation, Clinton will win this comfortably.
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https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/aug/02/tim-kaine-hillary-clinton-running-mate-2016-campaign
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thanks, good read. I think the appointment of Tim Kaine was a shrewd choice, they don't need to win over poor white southern voters, but if they win Ohio they're probably set, and he should help there - they've been campaigning there for the last few days, think they'll probably spend a lot of time there over the next months. It mostly doesn't matter who's elected for a lot of these people though, in terms of results I mean. Most of those factory jobs aren't coming back, no matter what either candidate promises. Don't think there are any quick fixes for the problems they've got.
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New polling looking terrible for Trump, this last few days can't have helped either. Most recent one is Clinton +9, double digits by next week? http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-bounce-appears-bigger-than-trumps/
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Trump is losing it for real this time, calling Clinton 'the devil' today, lol. Also predicting civil war following a rigged election.
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not sure if Vice Principals brings enough new shit to the table after Eastbound (which I never even finished, though the first season was genius). I'll probably keep watching the rest of the season, Goggins is great as expected at least.
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link didn't work for me, needed to do this: https://www.freeyoutubeproxy.org/search.php/yUdvtASr/HJ9FFGLd/ttSBtaHt/Ios7SYJD/KKeN9tbv/vR0WxT6f/o8Ab/b5/fnorefer
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Is that based off the aussie movie? Good film that.
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lol
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Star Wars? Williams definitely borrowed from this, as did many other films (Alien as well).
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Trump had a post convention boost, Clinton will get the same. In fact, in the first poll since the democratic convention, Clinton is back ahead again (+1 with Rasmussen, the fox news of polling).
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people have been doing lots of things for thousands of years, as long as it doesn't kill you before you reproduce there's a good chance it's still fucking you up.
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they don't have that PL overseas TV money though. so over €90m seems like a stretch, they don't have a big moneybags arab owner or anything.
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lol. those melodies on cirklon1 couldn't be faked though.
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Man that's a crazy good signing for Juve - with him, Mascherano and Pjanic they getting all kinds of serious. Makes me worry Pogs is gonna stay to put a serious push on for CL. Don't do it Pogba - how could you pass up the glorious nightlife in Manchester? surely they're not going to be spending that kind of money on Higuain unless they've got the Pogba cash coming in to cover it? The Italian league doesn't have that kind of money.
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Who cares if a foreign power hacked one of the major political parties in the US?!?!??! Do you not perhaps think it might be a good idea to care about that, and what the emails contained (which so far don't make the DNC look great, but don't really say much against the Clinton campaign directly, and even the DNC stuff is only slightly bad, not illegal, and not evidence that the primaries were rigged). The Trump and Putin angle is certainly an important one, it's not clear at this point where the truth lies, but it's certainly worth worrying about. http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/07/donald-trump-working-for-russia.html http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/289241-george-will-raises-possible-trump-link-to-russian-oligarchs Trump has had known associations with mobsters in his property dealings, wouldn't surprise me if he's in bed with corrupt russian fuckers too.
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Well hopefully the Sanders delegates got the message last night, and are aware of the broader level of support for them shutting the fuck up. It was rather embarrassing watching them at the start of the convention yesterday, doing Trump's work for him, thankfully it wasn't as vocal after the first bunch of speakers, but it was still evident. working people have many legitimate reasons to protest the democrats. as with any protest the views will often be expressed in idiotic slogans (which is true of the candidates as well) but considering the data on voters in the poll i linked i think your insistence that protesters are all "morons" who should "shut the fuck up" and toe the party line is pretty repulsive. the people I was referring to are not the protestors outside (though they are dumb fucks too, the ones chanting Trump slogans), but the the democratic delegates inside, party insiders not random public protesters. and yes they should shut the fuck up, and yes they are morons because they are increasing the chances of Trump getting elected. whether they have legitimate gripes is neither here nor there, there are other ways to keep those messages current without booing their party's nominee and chanting for the guy who lost. that poll may not be as reassuring as you might think though either, as the question only asked them what they would do in a two horse race 'if they had to vote for one or the other', doesn't account for voting for a 3rd party or not voting at all. presumably it will still be a high % who will vote for her, but maybe not as high as 90% of former Sanders supporters like that poll suggests. we'll see how things work themselves out in the coming days and weeks, hopefully the message from the likes of Sanders and Warren will sink in.
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I remember liking it as a kid, no idea whether it'll hold up (probably not).
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great film, never realised Mandy Patinkin played the alien. I liked that the aliens loved gone off milk for some reason. remember the tv version?
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I only defend Clinton in the face of rampant unreasonable criticism, I'm not actually a massive fan of her or many of her policies (though she's better compared to Sanders). If I had to pick a single policy of hers that would ultimately sway me it would be her stance on Nuclear power (Sanders vocally opposes it, she cautiously supports it - hopefully the only reason she's not more vocal about her support if for reasons of political expediency). They both put climate change as a big part of their platforms, but you can't have a serious platform on fixing climate change without support for nuclear. Sander's had a lot of good policies, don't hate him, but there's a more than decent chance he'd tank the US economy, especially if he got that dumb universal 3rd level policy through (though he may have found it even harder than Obama to get anything past congress, Clinton - despite how much she's hated by certain republicans - is a far cannier political operator, is likely to be far more effective in terms of enacting legislation than Sanders would have been, or Obama has been). Clinton's policy platforms were also a lot better thought out and more detailed, Sanders was very vague on loads of issues.
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Well hopefully the Sanders delegates got the message last night, and are aware of the broader level of support for them shutting the fuck up. It was rather embarrassing watching them at the start of the convention yesterday, doing Trump's work for him, thankfully it wasn't as vocal after the first bunch of speakers, but it was still evident.
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There was quite a lot of booing and noise during pro-Clinton talk at the DNC early on, that seems to have all but disappeared now bar a few tame shouts of 'bernie bernie'. Hopefully Sanders has managed to gain control of the rabble of morons that showed up, rather than them just getting bored for a bit, he had to reiterate to them in a personal message to show a united front after it kicked off.
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Obviously. She's better than Sanders as well. Still a pretty shit choice, but by far the least shit choice since this thing started last year.
